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Mike Henn's avatar

Whether it's Oakland, BART or EBMUD or SF, virtually all larger local jurisdictions are controlled by their public employees unions. Instead of the bosses selecting their employees, we get the employees selecting their bosses. This is managed by political contributions to candidates. No one has more self-interest than the unionized employees. The payback occurs when the unions and elected officials are negotiating wages, benefits and work rules.

There was an almost successful attempt to correct this problem in 2012. Prop 32 got 44% of the statewide vote although it was massively outspent by the unions. This measure would have prohibited payroll deductions to unions from automatically going to political candidates. Of course union members could individually donate to their favorite candidate, but the massive pipeline of dues to politicians would have been interrupted.

Whether it's BART 's fiscal cliff, or Oakland’s endless financial mess, it won't be fixed until there's a correction to the basic financial structure that prevents local government efficiency and makes every project or service cost more you could imagine. Bring back another try at Prop 32 of 2012.

circleglider's avatar

2012’s Prop 32 wouldn’t even get a third of the vote if it somehow made it back on a statewide ballot today. California’s electorate is hopeless.

Mindy P's avatar

Thanks Oakland Report. I agree, we need to get rid of Rank Choice Voting. Just creating a new charter without changing both the system of voting and the quality of our leadership will create more problems. Giving more power to a bad mayor and city council will end up being a disaster for Oakland. We need new leadership that can work together. We also need to replace the "police commission" with an advisory board to work with our great police officers. Mindy Pechenuk, candidate for Oakland Mayor 2026

Josh Rowan (on my own time)'s avatar

Orinda has 93 miles of publicly maintained roads. Oakland has 830 miles.

ThurstonBT's avatar

It would be interesting to see the EVIDENCE whence @Seneca Scott claims -- "Any charter amendment that does not eliminate ranked-choice voting (RCV) is a waste of time. RCV has demonstrably harmed local voting turnout, confidence, etc. Especially in communities of color and the working class."

As yet I have not seen a well-reasoned criticism of ranked-choice voting. The claim that "Any charter amendment that does not eliminate ranked-choice voting is a waste of time" does not rise above the low evidentiary standard of point-and-sputter.

Mike Henn's avatar

A well-reasoned criticism of RCV would start with Jean Quan and Sheng Thao.

ThurstonBT's avatar

Please provide your reasoning. How would Quan and Thao's election results been different if RCV had not been used?

Mike Henn's avatar

They both came in second in the popular vote, and would not have become mayor without RCV.

ThurstonBT's avatar

"They both came in second in the popular vote"? -- authoritative citation please. What is the specific mechanism whereby one 'comes in second in the popular vote' but wins the RCV vote?

circleglider's avatar

Comments like this illustrate why the governance of Oakland—and all of California—will remain hopelessly dysfunctional.

ThurstonBT's avatar

@circleglider -- what part of this is confusing you? "Authoritative citation please", "What is the specific mechanism whereby one 'comes in second in the popular vote' but wins the RCV vote?"

Seneca Scott's avatar

Ranked Choice Voting (RCV) alters traditional election mechanics by introducing multi-round eliminations and ballot transfers. Documented implementation issues across jurisdictions raise concerns regarding ballot exhaustion, transparency, recount feasibility, administrative complexity, voter error rates, and disparate impact.

1. Ballot Exhaustion

Ballots become “exhausted” when all ranked candidates are eliminated.

Exhausted ballots are not included in the final round.

Winners receive a majority of continuing ballots, not necessarily a majority of total ballots cast.

In U.S. RCV jurisdictions, exhaustion rates commonly range between 5%–20%.

Effect: Final outcomes may exclude a measurable share of participating voters.

2. Redefinition of Majority

RCV defines majority as more than 50% of remaining ballots.

This differs from traditional systems where majority refers to total votes cast.

Effect: A candidate may win without majority support of all voters who participated.

3. Tabulation Complexity

Requires sequential elimination rounds and vote redistribution.

Elimination order can influence final outcomes.

Results often require centralized software tabulation and cannot always be finalized on election night.

Effect: Reduced transparency compared to additive plurality systems.

4. Closed-Source Software

Many jurisdictions rely on proprietary (closed-source) tabulation software.

Source code is not publicly accessible in several implementations.

Vote redistribution occurs within software systems rather than through direct public aggregation.

Effect: Limits independent public verification of the counting logic.

5. Recount Limitations

RCV recounts require re-running elimination rounds, not simple retabulation.

Full manual recounts in large elections are significantly more time-intensive than plurality recounts.

Effect: Reduced practical feasibility of comprehensive hand recounts in complex races.

6. Documented Tabulation Errors

Alameda County, CA identified RCV tabulation errors requiring correction.

Covered in Wall Street Journal: “Oops, We Botched Ranked-Choice Voting.”

Effect: Demonstrates vulnerability to administrative or programming errors.

7. Elevated Ballot Error Rates

Overvotes, skipped rankings, and duplicate rankings occur at higher rates in RCV contests than single-choice ballots.

Error rates increase with ballot complexity and number of candidates.

Effect: Increased risk of voter ballot invalidation or exhaustion.

8. Voter Understanding Gaps

Surveys show a measurable portion of voters report not fully understanding transfer mechanics.

Comprehension correlates with education level and prior exposure.

Effect: Uneven voter familiarity may affect ballot validity.

9. Disparate Impact Concerns

Studies in certain municipalities show higher ballot error and exhaustion rates in lower-income districts compared to more affluent districts.

Comparative district data (e.g., lower-income District 7 vs. more affluent District 4 in Oakland) has shown substantial disparities in ballot error rates.

Error rates correlate with income, education, and language access variables.

Effect: Potential unequal impact across socioeconomic groups.

10. Administrative and Financial Costs

Implementation requires:

Voting machine upgrades

Specialized software

Public education campaigns

Costs range from hundreds of thousands to millions depending on jurisdiction size.

Effect: Increased administrative burden relative to plurality systems.

Conclusion

RCV introduces structural complexity into election administration, alters the definition of majority, increases ballot exhaustion risk, relies on proprietary tabulation systems in many jurisdictions, complicates recount procedures, and has demonstrated disparities in ballot error rates across socioeconomic groups.

Seneca Scott's avatar

I made an episode all about it. Watch and then circle back with your counter argument. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kiWq-L6rpRg